2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,277 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,143/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$-173/mo
Annual
$-2,081/yr
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.95%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (20.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#114 in IA, #2,173 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
Washington Community School District (town): math 53% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #254 of 289 in IA (top 88%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.2% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29