20 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,500 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,207/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$883
Net cashflow
$1,482/mo
Annual
$17,790/yr
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.83%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $371/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $305k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $300k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mcgregor Public School District (rural): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #243 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Aitkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aitkin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $240k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ACPJ415BV2J2T
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29