3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,911 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Townhouse
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,096/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$438
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$440
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,408/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (8.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
Dorchester County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #23 of 24 in MD (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Dorchester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dorchester County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Cambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ANHGS56D7TXJB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29