4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$661/mo
Annual
$7,931/yr
Cap rate
17.93%
Cash-on-cash
41.56%
DSCR
2.85
1% rule
2.02%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#91 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Gem District (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #54 of 133 in ID (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Gem Elementary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #23 of 357 statewide, top 8%, 69 students, 35% FRL); North Gem High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #40 of 169 statewide, top 26%, 43 students, 42% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the North Gem District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Caribou County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caribou County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ARE83FCXZ11NE
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29