3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 507 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$488
Tax + insurance
−$73
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$317/mo
Annual
$3,807/yr
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.62%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$26,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
It's been on market 507 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($643 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#328 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
Dodge County (rural): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #139 of 174 in GA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Dodge Elementary School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #803 of 1,228 statewide, top 66%, 675 students, 91% FRL); Dodge County Middle School (math 18% / reading 27%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 628 students, 68% FRL); Dodge County High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 834 students, 68% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dodge County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 507 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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