3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$560
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-372/yr
Cap rate
14.90%
Cash-on-cash
30.72%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.78%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-372/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $55k (7.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $565 of equity ($414 loan paydown + $151 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,191 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Shawnee CUSD 84 (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #792 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
Alexander County population projected at -53% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Slight weathering
Minor: landscaping
— Overgrown grass
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29