3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,256 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 436 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,098/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 436 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#95 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Hugoton Public Schools (town): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #119 of 169 in KS (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hugoton Elem (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 532 students, 65% FRL); Hugoton Middle (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #203 of 219 statewide, top 93%, 154 students, 60% FRL); Hugoton High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #235 of 327 statewide, top 74%, 327 students, 52% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Stevens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stevens County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $77k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 436 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29