4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,251 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 287 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,383
Tax + insurance
−$757
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$-534/mo
Annual
$-6,412/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.04%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$127,214
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $405k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-534 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $377k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (18.6% below list).
It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spanish Lake Primary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #50 of 646 statewide, top 9%, 540 students, 41% FRL); Dutchtown Middle School (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B+, #10 of 218 statewide, top 5%, 657 students, 36% FRL); Dutchtown High School (math 70% / reading 68%, grade B, #9 of 265 statewide, top 3%, 2,643 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant damage and potential leaks are visible.
Major: exterior walls
— Severe peeling paint and possible structural issues are evident.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of maintenance, with no visible curb appeal features.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The exterior condition suggests the interior may be in a similar state, with peeling paint and potential structural issues.
Major: systems
— The overall condition suggests they may be in need of repair or replacement, with no visible systems in the photos.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7BPFQM8T5N81SG
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29