4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,853/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$47/mo
Annual
$566/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.99%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $205k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($566/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (9.6% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#224 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Leaksville-Spray Elementary (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 404 students, 99% FRL); J E Holmes Middle (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 627 students, 99% FRL); John M Morehead High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #427 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 814 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 52% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in Eden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29