1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,018/yr
Cap rate
14.66%
Cash-on-cash
29.87%
DSCR
2.33
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Sandy Creek Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #425 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.4% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7CS94485AE2VKW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29