3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,887 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 486 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,211/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,650
Tax + insurance
−$524
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$-427/mo
Annual
$-5,124/yr
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.82%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$88,075
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $266k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-427 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (5.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 486 days — a 12% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#77 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, crime F.
Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Champ Cooper Elementary School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #333 of 646 statewide, top 54%, 1,126 students, 57% FRL); Ponchatoula High School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 2,262 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 73% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 527 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 486 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Moderate: Roof inspection
— No recent inspection
CashFlowRE · CFR-7CTF40AG5YW7K1
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29