2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,353 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Townhouse
· Active
· 163 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$417
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$-594/mo
Annual
$-7,123/yr
Cap rate
3.99%
Cash-on-cash
-8.23%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-594 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (33.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (29.3% below list).
It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (33.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Academy School District No. 20 In The County Of El Paso An (urban): math 45% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #8 of 86 in CO (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-7CVPPZA0YFWEE2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29