3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,181/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$36/mo
Annual
$432/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.10%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($432/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (15.6% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#231 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jacksonville North Pulaski School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #211 of 238 in AR (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Joe T. Robinson Middle School (math 40% / reading 49%, grade D, #61 of 201 statewide, top 32%, 544 students, 96% FRL); Joe T. Robinson High School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #138 of 292 statewide, top 48%, 783 students, 24% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 19% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jacksonville North Pulaski School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7D3YB84W0W865J
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29