19060 Garrison Ln

Summerdale, AL 36580

$72,000B+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,038 sqft · Built 2022 · Other · Active · 28 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,786/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$378
• Tax + insurance: −$120
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$375
• Net cashflow: $914/mo
• Annual: $10,965/yr
• Cap rate: 21.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.39%
• DSCR: 3.42
• 1% rule: 2.48%
• Cash to close: $20,160

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $72k. Condition is rated poor.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $914 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $71k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Summerdale School (math 23% / reading 55%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 573 students, 77% FRL); Foley High School (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,578 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Baldwin County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 4.7% in Summerdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has a metal roof that may need replacement.
• Major: exterior siding — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has siding that may need replacement.
• Major: interior walls and paint — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has interior walls and paint that may need repainting.
• Major: windows — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has windows that may need replacement.
• Major: HVAC/mechanical systems — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has HVAC and mechanical systems that may need replacement.
• Major: landscaping — The satellite image shows a single-wide mobile home, which typically has minimal landscaping that may need improvement.