2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,872 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Condo
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,085/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,812
Tax + insurance
−$2,165
HOA
−$1,482
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,168
Net cashflow
$1,458/mo
Annual
$17,501/yr
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.81%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$363,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $1.30M. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.30M).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.28M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.28M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $124k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $115k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $364k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$198k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $15,085/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($151k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7DER1F709R5MY9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29