3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,324 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Other
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,508/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$4/mo
Annual
$47/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.08%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($47/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (24.6% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#35 in MO, #3,062 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Webb City R-VII (suburban): math 53% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #21 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Webster Primary Ctr. (407 students, 58% FRL); Webb City Middle (math 53% / reading 55%, grade B-, #46 of 391 statewide, top 12%, 696 students, 47% FRL); Webb City High (math 30% / reading 59%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 1,349 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7DKJ355MJSDRP1
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29