15 bd · 7.0 ba ·
5,286 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,560/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,742
Tax + insurance
−$2,749
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,478
Net cashflow
$4,592/mo
Annual
$55,099/yr
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.97%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$306,600
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/1.4-bath units multifamily listed at $1.09M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($55k/yr) — positive. Per door: $918/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $1.09M).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.08M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 71 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $240k; list at $1.09M implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $307k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,560/mo this rent would consume 324% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 6069% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7E5ET258293CFW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29