2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$97
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$18/mo
Annual
$220/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.60%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($220/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (12.5% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#138 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Trindale Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 386 students, 67% FRL); Trinity Middle School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 518 students, 64% FRL); Trinity High School (math 77% / reading 52%, grade B-, #164 of 535 statewide, top 32%, 657 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.9% in Archdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7EFNGQ5BB1AM4X
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29