3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$456
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$168
Net cashflow
$58/mo
Annual
$696/yr
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.13%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$24,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($696/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in WV, #796 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment D-.
Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $19k; list at $87k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7G6WRS4FWKA0K9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29