1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
947 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 406 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$953/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$115
Tax + insurance
−$37
HOA
−$482
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$119/mo
Annual
$1,428/yr
Cap rate
12.78%
Cash-on-cash
23.18%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
4.33%
Cash to close
$6,160
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $22k).
It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, crime F, amenities F.
Hunter-Tannersville Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #425 of 755 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 1.6% in Hunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Living room furniture
— Furniture appears slightly worn.