3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$385
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$146/mo
Annual
$1,748/yr
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
2.97%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (1.6% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $206k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Flippen Elementary School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #845 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 570 students, 57% FRL); Eagle'S Landing Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,092 students, 59% FRL); Eagle'S Landing High School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 1,642 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $167k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.3% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7HGFR2FFVHXQ8C
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29