3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,186 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$107/mo
Annual
$1,279/yr
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.99%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (8.7% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $210k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#982 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Ingram ISD (rural): math 58% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #145 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Ingram El (math 61% / reading 44%, grade C-, #720 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 569 students, 75% FRL); Ingram Middle (math 52% / reading 43%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 279 students, 69% FRL); Ingram Tom Moore H S (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 392 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 422 units permitted in Kerr County in 2024 (322 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kerr County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.1% in Ingram — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7HZYED746CFMTW
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29