4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,772 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$475
Net cashflow
$989/mo
Annual
$11,863/yr
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.92%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $989 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $125k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7J7QG6BVR3YW9A
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29