3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,375 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$493
Net cashflow
$372/mo
Annual
$4,465/yr
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.38%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (6.1% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#246 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Louisa County Public School District (rural): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #19 of 131 in VA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 408 units permitted in Louisa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Louisa County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $87k; list at $250k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.2% in Mineral — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely worn and outdated
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and non-functional
Major: roof
— visible rust and wear
Major: exterior siding
— chipped paint and damage
Major: HVAC system
— outdated and likely inefficient
CashFlowRE · CFR-7JGD8NDX7E9KCT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29