2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1945
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,380/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$245/mo
Annual
$2,943/yr
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.41%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Line Mountain SD (rural): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #266 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7JGRGD7HPC6MVW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29