4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,924 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,426/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,756
Tax + insurance
−$985
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$-824/mo
Annual
$-9,892/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.09%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$93,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-824 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (35.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (27.6% below list).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Meadow Park Elementary School (math 61% / reading 56%, grade B-, #735 of 2,144 statewide, top 35%, 701 students, 59% FRL); Murdock Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 577 students, 56% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.9% in Port Charlotte — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,426/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 24% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29