5 bd · 5.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1914
· Townhouse
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$-1,245/mo
Annual
$-14,939/yr
Cap rate
2.01%
Cash-on-cash
-15.29%
DSCR
0.32
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/5.0-bath townhouse listed at $349k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (51.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (57.7% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $148k (57.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and cluttered
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and cluttered
Moderate: exterior paint
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-7KC30X4DVZ09NQ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29