2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 324 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$856/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$45
Tax + insurance
−$20
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$611/mo
Annual
$7,338/yr
Cap rate
92.62%
Cash-on-cash
308.30%
DSCR
14.72
1% rule
10.07%
Cash to close
$2,380
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#505 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Union Primary (math 72% / reading 79%, grade A, #207 of 1,108 statewide, top 19%, 861 students, 84% FRL); Union Middle (math 58% / reading 70%, grade B+, #127 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 583 students, 89% FRL); Central High (math 87% / reading 87%, grade A, #16 of 319 statewide, top 5%, 674 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (57%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7KMDMA0PPHJ7X3
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29