2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
842 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,538/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$669
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$34/mo
Annual
$408/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.14%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$35,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $128k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($408/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($882 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#332 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Canastota Central School District (town): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #473 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in Canastota — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7KN6M76R61ZFYM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29