2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,156 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$987/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$342/mo
Annual
$4,100/yr
Cap rate
14.51%
Cash-on-cash
29.35%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($987 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#966 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
West Sabine ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #597 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP.
Sabine County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7MHMNH2N0CWKCC
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29