2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Manufactured
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$872/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,884/yr
Cap rate
10.74%
Cash-on-cash
15.87%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($872 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Danbury Local (town): math 60% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #203 of 656 in OH (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 128 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 0.8% in Lakeside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7MXZXYE1P90NB0
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29