1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$248
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$-427/mo
Annual
$-5,123/yr
Cap rate
3.91%
Cash-on-cash
-8.51%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-427 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (35.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (30.5% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mccornack Elementary School (math 50% / reading 30%, grade F, #169 of 412 statewide, top 44%, 340 students, 64% FRL); Kennedy Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 361 students, 61% FRL); Churchill High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,082 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 37% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $215k implies a 482% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-7MYRDY62N88JCQ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29