406 Church St

Zeigler, IL 62999

$49,000B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 740 sqft · Built — · Other · Active · 7 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $825/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$257
• Tax + insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$173
• Net cashflow: $337/mo
• Annual: $4,042/yr
• Cap rate: 14.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.46%
• DSCR: 2.31
• 1% rule: 1.68%
• Cash to close: $13,720

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $49k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $49k).
• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $479 of equity ($339 loan paydown + $140 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,012 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #524 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Zeigler-Royalton Elem School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,259 of 2,056 statewide, top 62%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Zeigler-Royalton Jr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 114 students, 0% FRL); Zeigler-Royalton High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 130 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.