2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,086 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Condo
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$248
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$619
Net cashflow
$-99/mo
Annual
$-1,188/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.27%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $295k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#663 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Monroe-Woodbury Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #250 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Central Valley Elementary School (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 448 students, 43% FRL); Monroe-Woodbury Middle School (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #433 of 729 statewide, top 60%, 1,584 students, 40% FRL); Monroe-Woodbury High School (math 98% / reading 95%, grade A+, #56 of 1,100 statewide, top 5%, 2,353 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 15% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $128k; list at $335k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.8% in Woodbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7NV9E3DWQH9N0F
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29