3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,924 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,025/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$264
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$635
Net cashflow
$606/mo
Annual
$7,274/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Allen Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 451 students, 97% FRL); Arnold Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 645 students, 97% FRL); Northside High School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,402 students, 32% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $168k; list at $290k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,025/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 2030% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7P77PK9T825KSJ
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29