3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,758 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 535 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,455/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,265/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.15%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (8.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (30.7% below list).
It's been on market 535 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $210k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.9% in Morristown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 535 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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