1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
536 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$974/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$432
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$222/mo
Annual
$2,667/yr
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.58%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$23,044
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $82k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $569 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in MI, #4,369 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Essexville-Hampton Public Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #217 of 540 in MI (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.3% in Essexville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7PZ2322ZK09QN1
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29