4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,976 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,542/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$720
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,214
Net cashflow
$2,893/mo
Annual
$34,722/yr
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.79%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive. Per door: $723/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($872k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $872k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#459 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Independence Elementary (438 students, 96% FRL); South Gate Middle (1,342 students, 94% FRL); South East High (math 30% / reading 68%, grade D, #369 of 1,170 statewide, top 32%, 2,057 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 67% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $899k implies a 649% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.7% in South Gate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,542/mo this rent would consume 169% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 4041% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7Q9RD5EEP4E4QS
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29