4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,020 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,531/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$18
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$531
Net cashflow
$-437/mo
Annual
$-5,248/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.36%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-437 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (18.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (27.7% below list).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $253k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $350k implies a 661% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7QWWJC7D2TVGJX
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29