6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,868 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,396
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,227
Net cashflow
$2,787/mo
Annual
$33,441/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.93%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$223,972
Investor read
This is a 5 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $557/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $800k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($776k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $776k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $335k; list at $800k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,605/mo this rent would consume 123% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1567% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S1AJFBX97V7MA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29