3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,161 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,255/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (32.1% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#292 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Donaldsonville Primary School (432 students, 89% FRL); Lowery Middle School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #187 of 218 statewide, top 86%, 295 students, 86% FRL); Donaldsonville High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 435 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 44% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 53% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Ascension Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S57AV1ZXX98BX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29