3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,284 sqft ·
Built 2010
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$256
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$734
Net cashflow
$944/mo
Annual
$11,331/yr
Cap rate
10.83%
Cash-on-cash
16.19%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $944 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#542 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Festus R-VI (suburban): math 55% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #16 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Festus Elem. (math 73% / reading 73%, grade A, #16 of 1,115 statewide, top 2%, 1,039 students, 36% FRL); Festus Intermediate (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #17 of 391 statewide, top 5%, 745 students, 40% FRL); Festus Sr. High (math 37% / reading 60%, grade D, #147 of 521 statewide, top 29%, 979 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.9% in Herculaneum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S7H6S83EZ38TA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29