4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,420 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 139 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,435/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-527/mo
Annual
$-6,325/yr
Cap rate
3.76%
Cash-on-cash
-9.04%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-527 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (37.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (42.6% below list).
It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (42.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#845 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Sodus Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sodus Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 354 students, 66% FRL); Sodus Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 35%, grade F, #437 of 729 statewide, top 60%, 231 students, 75% FRL); Sodus Jr/Sr High School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C-, #912 of 1,100 statewide, top 85%, 445 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $47k; list at $250k implies a 432% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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