3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$676
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$861
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-650/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.47%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $499k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-650/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $489k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $410k (17.8% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $410k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
New Fairfield School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #41 of 153 in CT (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Consolidated School (483 students, 16% FRL); New Fairfield Middle School (math 52% / reading 70%, grade B+, #41 of 175 statewide, top 25%, 492 students, 17% FRL); New Fairfield High School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #26 of 194 statewide, top 16%, 686 students, 15% FRL).
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $214k; list at $499k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7TCNHG2T32MCCX
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29