28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
4,590 sqft ·
Built 1850
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$873
Net cashflow
$1,689/mo
Annual
$20,272/yr
Cap rate
14.43%
Cash-on-cash
29.08%
DSCR
2.29
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $422/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#693 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
13 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 24800% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $249k implies a 361% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29