2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$925/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$327/mo
Annual
$3,927/yr
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.58%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#158 in OH, #2,388 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Bucyrus City (town): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #537 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $65k implies a 550% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.4% in Bucyrus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7VV45G39GFKT2V
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29