2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,611/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$671
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$-64/mo
Annual
$-769/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-769/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (11.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sandy Lane Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 304 students, 85% FRL); Dunedin Highland Middle School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C+, #213 of 571 statewide, top 38%, 899 students, 53% FRL); Clearwater High School (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,664 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 48% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-7W7DFHF6H26AQC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29