1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
546 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 333 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,533/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$550
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$-203/mo
Annual
$-2,434/yr
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.95%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (23.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $371 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in FL, #608 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, schools F.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 32% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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