3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$966/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$194
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$233
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$275/mo
Annual
$3,295/yr
Cap rate
15.20%
Cash-on-cash
31.81%
DSCR
2.42
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$10,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $37k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Aitkin Public School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #84 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Aitkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aitkin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image shows visible rust and wear on the metal roof.
Major: exterior siding
— The satellite image shows peeling paint and faded siding.
Major: flooring
— The satellite image shows worn wood on the deck and patio area.
Major: interior walls
— The interior photos show aged wood paneling.
Major: bathroom fixtures
— The independent satellite image shows dated fixtures in the bathroom.
Major: HVAC unit
— The independent satellite image shows the HVAC unit is old and located in an exposed area.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7WV08ECC4KVEXF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29