2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
653 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,798/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$578/mo
Annual
$6,936/yr
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.82%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Governor Wentworth Reg School District (rural): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in NH (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Effingham Elementary School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #179 of 263 statewide, top 71%, 104 students, 39% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Governor Wentworth Reg School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $125k implies a 303% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7WV87GD6Z7C9GP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29